In July 2025, Canada shed 41,000 jobs (the worst performance in over three years) driving the unemployment rate to 6.9%. Analysts from BMO, CIBC, and Capital Economics say the weakness increases the odds of a Bank of Canada rate cut on September 17, now priced at 38–40% probability, with markets expecting two cuts before year-end. U.S. inflation at 2.7% and falling Canadian bond yields suggest mortgage rates could drop soon.

Big 5 banks make 5-year fixed mortgages sound safe — until you try to break them. Learn how IRD penalties work, why they’re often higher than you think, and smart ways to reduce them before it’s too late.